Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 171.808952 188.060454 204.658498 222.849145 242.195073 262.126096 284.182497
2024-12-29 148.536535 173.218864 199.558898 229.634996 262.899489 298.441197 339.160953
2025-01-05 129.188867 159.914576 194.064373 234.522909 280.830272 331.867136 392.051284
2025-01-12 110.519545 145.000305 184.848963 233.713943 291.416141 356.793165 435.852792
2025-01-19 95.429891 132.401155 176.735148 232.854921 301.013862 380.144972 477.948540
2025-01-26 87.152313 127.029337 176.408054 240.623759 320.463203 415.023302 533.970248
2025-02-02 79.584353 121.621449 175.282300 246.836503 337.719053 447.304040 587.316288
2025-02-09 73.430431 117.332222 174.980742 253.628566 355.452829 480.194151 641.760609
2025-02-16 67.838502 113.175802 174.340991 259.596174 371.948899 511.598319 694.720815
2025-02-23 58.382434 102.604951 164.218493 252.278901 370.719574 520.381048 719.375807
2025-03-02 51.329835 94.800817 157.228563 248.538253 373.642326 534.072885 750.027484
2025-03-09 46.771088 90.297714 154.496020 250.293447 383.636237 556.775323 792.249162
2025-03-16 42.873483 86.565749 152.747634 253.463978 395.816066 582.875141 839.785678
2025-03-23 40.652354 85.344578 154.609572 261.786274 415.223258 618.857190 900.798438
2025-03-30 38.020934 83.175015 154.849488 267.670106 431.308513 650.666044 956.846669
2025-04-06 34.173749 78.505580 150.876397 267.067862 438.123529 670.034362 996.694224
2025-04-13 30.693718 74.100389 146.978952 266.285686 444.489255 688.740165 1035.787430
2025-04-20 29.398620 73.586935 149.291887 274.948444 464.553381 726.412343 1100.725247
2025-04-27 27.874285 72.470956 150.496010 281.851713 482.115995 760.827720 1161.651122
2025-05-04 26.582637 71.664349 152.117894 289.366043 500.626488 796.725791 1224.923197
2025-05-11 25.228452 70.587057 153.178674 295.954830 517.825112 830.972553 1286.300907
2025-05-18 21.719833 64.623255 145.350157 287.909070 512.819236 833.772480 1304.462926
2025-05-25 19.152168 60.321794 140.135463 283.794200 513.489321 844.446965 1333.437059